Jarl Vetreiði
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 8-3-0
82%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Glover (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Young (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
38th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jackson CASANOVA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Boorman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Round 10: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gavin Wu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rhyan Wellwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Mark Phillips (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jy Jenkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Rosiak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Tulloch (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Rosin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.