Calling: Brisbane 2026 - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Patrick Watt

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.83
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Daniel Schmith

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Woo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Levi Gott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arron Boyles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Hamlet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.93
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Josh Rosin

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ken Hickey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.