Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Brisbane 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
17th • 8-3-0
55%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Crane (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taine Markley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Chong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
21st • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arron Boyles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David House (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ken Russell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
29th • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Ly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Hu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taine Markley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
42nd • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Debney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Dorko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Mann (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oliver Davy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 11: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Horton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ed Chan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhys McMillan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.