Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Willem Van Den Broek

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mitchell Burton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Horne (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.54
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Simon Cox

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.65
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Matthew Chong

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 85:15

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.10
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.