Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Willem Van Den Broek

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mitchell Burton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Horne (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.57
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Simon Cox

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.51
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Matthew Chong

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 32:68

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.