Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Valda, Seismic Impact

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jerry Kaonang

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Horne (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.49
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Tom Dagan

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Mark Phillips

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Rhys McMillan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.23
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

bill huynh

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Chong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.