Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
12th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
19th • 8-3-1
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryo Terakita (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Draw |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
21st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 9: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
22nd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
46th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mamoru Iguchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yalon schori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
53rd • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Round 12: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 渉 中原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs hideto takagi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Miller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Loss vs 小谷 康斗 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucio (ルシオ) Flores (フロレス) (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Willis Tay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mamoru Iguchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 賢人 有田 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-2
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mu Kyun Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kouki miura (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mok Marcus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs 良亮 河野 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.