Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
31st • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
49th • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs sungbin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Win vs HyoungJun You (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 12: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
59th • 5-7-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiga Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 佑紀 丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs FRANCIS FAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noriyuki Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs narihiko serikyaku (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 恵一 長谷川 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Winter Fong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomoya Kosho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takeji Furugen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 隆誠 細井 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Mu Kyun Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.