Calling: Akihabara 2026 - Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant (CC)

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Louis Glenn

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Takeji Furugen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.27
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

HAN LONG LIU

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

narihiko serikyaku

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 佑紀丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Willis Tay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.