Puffin, Hightail
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
Round 11: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yalon schori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Vu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.