Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
56th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 章裕 森 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.