Kassai of the Golden Sand
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yufu Huang ()
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
24th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
26th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Win vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
37th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
43rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Win vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
90%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
Round 9: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 祐也 副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Tay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.