Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Draw |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs atsushi tsuchiya (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Winter Fong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noriyuki Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Winter Fong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.