Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs hideto takagi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 祐也 副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noriyuki Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.