Arakni, Huntsman
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Draw |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs hideto takagi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 祐也 副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noriyuki Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.