FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Akihabara 2026

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hangjune "Shu" Cho
dropped • 5-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Dash I/O
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
YOUTAROU MURAMOTO
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Arakni, Huntsman
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Abel Natawardaja
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Dash I/O
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
OH Youngjin
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kouki miura (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Dash I/O
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Akira Inuma
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Dash I/O
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Willis Tay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Jonathan Vu
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ユウキ テラダ (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.