Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Arakni, Marionette
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-2-0
42%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Round 8: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
5th • 10-2-0
75%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 賢人 有田 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
90:10
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
Round 11: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
2nd • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
20th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yutaro Sato ()
Round 2: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
52nd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 恵一 長谷川 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs akio harada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs shao qi Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mamoru Iguchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 章裕 森 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mu Kyun Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 恵一 長谷川 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.