Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shota kajiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs NANAMI OCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HAN LONG LIU (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Mu Kyun Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shohei Marubayashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.