Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuki Komata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs atsushi tsuchiya (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.