Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Akihabara 2026
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
11th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 10: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
25th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs sungbin sim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
28th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs カイ ブラック (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yalon schori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs haruka sonoda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 雅貴 大場 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Miller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs FRANCIS FAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Suzuki ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ugo Henson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noriyuki Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 渉 中原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yufu Huang ()
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs yalon schori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Miller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
67%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 永井 泰洋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.