Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-2-1
75%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
16th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mok Marcus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 9: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 9: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
42nd • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shota kajiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
95:5
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
Round 9: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (7.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
45th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
57th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 12: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
Round 2: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouki miura (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taine Markley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs shota kajiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
Round 5: Win vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas On (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs narihiko serikyaku (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucio (ルシオ) Flores (フロレス) (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Vu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.