Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
51st • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Tay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yalon schori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CHEN CHENG ()
Round 2: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryo Terakita (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TERUYA OKAZAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.