Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Willis Tay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.