Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
35th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
55th • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leon Lu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 9: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Tay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Hojin Choi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs atsushi tsuchiya (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Winter Fong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 良亮 河野 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 智弘 橋本 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 智彰 吉村 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TOMOHIRO TAGUCHI ()
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abel Natawardaja (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Basil Foo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shao qi Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Willis Tay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kouki miura (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Ho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 恵一 長谷川 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.