Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Akihabara 2026

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marei Oshiro

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Tay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 直人三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

EIKI SUGAI

dropped • 2-4-1

71%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs haruka sonoda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 稜馬石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.03
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kouki miura

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 賢人有田 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.