Calling: Akihabara 2026 - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marei Oshiro

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 61:39

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Tay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 直人三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

EIKI SUGAI

dropped • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs haruka sonoda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17

5:95

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Satoru Doumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 5:95

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 稜馬石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	5%	Draw	✗	0.05	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.91
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

kouki miura

dropped • 0-4-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 賢人有田 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs satoshi kurokawa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.