Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
41 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ihor Kotaiev (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 11: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
5.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yehor Zhukovskyi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Round 5: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs arnaud rey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
22nd • 9-3-0
100%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Roic (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ville Ahtiainen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
27th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Ferrero González (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brecht D'hondt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 12: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
52nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
67th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Diego Fernández Sánchez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-1
60%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amadeus Landin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs simon diaz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxandre Jacqueline (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Catling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valentin Jacqueline (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Enrique Raya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Russell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jose Alves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dler Sino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enrico Nocentini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs NIKOLAOS SERETIS (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Luong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leonardo Asciano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marko Antonic (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Charlotte Little (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs David Muntwyler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emanuele Tozzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Mauro Annetta (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Loïc Hervé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Grimes ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Enrico Nocentini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Jimena Ortigosa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Jimena Ortigosa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Huylebroeck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Ritzakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Loss vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ihor Kotaiev (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Javier Álvarez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Oggioni (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tam Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Micklewright (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Guillermo Revilla (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan McVean (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Willems (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Barreto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Clark (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Mendes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.