Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Valencia 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-1-0
83%
Meta
+5.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 10-2-0
75%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Round 12: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
9th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs José Guimarães (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Beni Balazsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
25th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Asciano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marko Antonic (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francesco Motta (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
60th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs José Guimarães (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carl Boyle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Simone Pirota (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Asciano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Zampieri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Megera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Muntwyler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs simon diaz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Red Itärinne (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolás Parejo Bouzas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Muratori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Catling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mario Donoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Beni Balazsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Greenaway (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andoni Salvatierra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlotte Little (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Lancini (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Augusto Silva (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.