Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs arnaud rey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luca Muratori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxandre Jacqueline (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gilles Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Savinien Castel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs arnaud rey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Joakim Fugelli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.