Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Valencia 2025

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ihor Kotaiev

12th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.62
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.80
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.93
R10	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.63
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Kamil Grodecki

14th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

5.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Javier Álvarez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ihor Kotaiev (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.57
R6	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.34
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.22
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.14
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Manuel Wachouschek

37th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jorge Jimenez ()

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Harle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.66
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.63
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.78
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Gary White

56th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aidan Clark (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.80
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R11	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Tiago Rodrigues

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Zampieri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Carlos Gutiérrez González

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs robin gasparini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.18
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.47
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Florian Schmidt

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs simon diaz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Yegor Borshch

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noè Giussani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.99
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Yehor Zhukovskyi

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Russell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Alkis Sejati

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noemí Soto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carles Torres (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs NIKOLAOS SERETIS (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.