Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Valencia 2025
Arakni, Marionette
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-2-0
92%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
5th • 10-2-0
58%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 79:21
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
16th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Goran Lovric (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
18th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Ihor Kotaiev (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
95:5
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Patrick Jud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
21st • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Niccolò Borghi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
23rd • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
26th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Diego Fernández Sánchez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Jud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
30th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Win vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
40th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
42nd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None ()
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | 50% | Win | |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
64th • 7-4-1
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
68th • 7-4-1
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valentin Jacqueline (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
76th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Javier Álvarez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tam Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Luong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolás Parejo Bouzas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesus Matheus (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Ritzakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Guillot (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy ARRESTIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mario Donoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesus Miguel Matheus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Clement Dupont (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Víctor Martínez Coín (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carles Torres (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Patrycjusz Janas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Guillot (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tony Moreno Moya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Savinien Castel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Clark (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gilles Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yannis Stathakis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brecht D'hondt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amadeus Landin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs robin gasparini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Jimena Ortigosa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Enrique Raya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.