Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rafa Guallar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Justin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathew Davies (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Ivo Malcenieks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 7: Win vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Augusto Silva (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Gwenaël Senmartin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Olivares Rodriguez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Miguel Matheus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yannis Stathakis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noemí Soto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan McVean (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Lozano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.