Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Miguel Matheus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Ceschin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Oggioni (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.