Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Valencia 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noè Giussani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Goran Lovric (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noemí Soto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 9: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
74th • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
45%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jan Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luca Muratori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan McVean (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Megera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Perry Austin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Federico Lami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diogo Henriques (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Megera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Mathew Davies (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Martínez Campillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Briola (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Willems (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rodrigo Peinado (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enrique Raya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luca McClure (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.