Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Justin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sokha BOURNAK (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.