Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Valencia 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brecht D'hondt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Patryk Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Draw |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Barreto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs arnaud rey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None ()
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | 50% | Win | |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Fernández Sánchez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.