Calling: Valencia 2025 - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

William Rao

dropped • 2-4-1

29%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brecht D'hondt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 5:95

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Patryk Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

10:90

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	5%	Loss	✗	0.05	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.19
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Anton Figueroa

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Barreto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs arnaud rey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Fernández Lorca

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrés Sánchez García (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None ()

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Javier Álvarez

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Sokha BOURNAK

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Diego Fernández Sánchez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.