Puffin, Hightail
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 8-4-0
8%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
8% (1/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joakim Fugelli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy ARRESTIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jan Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Clark (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Fernández Lorca (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Amadeus Landin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Catling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Ivo Malcenieks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Hills (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alejandro Gurrea (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.