Arakni, Huntsman
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Perry Austin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 9: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
51st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 10: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niccolò Borghi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Briola (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guillermo Revilla (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.