Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Valencia 2025
Arakni, Huntsman
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Perry Austin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josep Tarrida (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
51st • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niccolò Borghi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Briola (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guillermo Revilla (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.