Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Valencia 2025

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.36
R7	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Mattia Vigliarolo

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Russell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.36
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Antonio Briola

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carles Torres (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ilian Baylon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.