Calling: Valencia 2025 - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrea Nicastro

28th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.1

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josep Giné (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Win	✗	0.86	0.24
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Rúben Martins

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Antonio Briola (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joakim Fugelli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Ruben Exposito

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre STEINMETZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bence Vereszki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.