Pleiades, Superstar

Pleiades, Superstar

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manos Apostolakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Martínez Campillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Víctor Martínez Coín (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.