Calling: Valencia 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Koutsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Daniel Jimena Ortigosa

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Beni Balazsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Manos Apostolakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.77
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrea Albani

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carles Torres (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Koutsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.