Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Valencia 2025
Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Diego Giacca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simone Pirota (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enrico Nocentini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Bence Vereszki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Carías (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Ceschin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noè Giussani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Golden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.