Fang, Dracai of Blades
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Ferrero González (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Méndez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs simon diaz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joakim Fugelli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Barreto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Davide Oggioni (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Win vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs simon diaz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brecht D'hondt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.