Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
38th • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolás Parejo Bouzas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 8: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tony Moreno Moya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Javier Álvarez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joakim Fugelli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.