Calling: Valencia 2025 - Valda, Seismic Impact (CC)

Valda, Seismic Impact

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kacper Mocek

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Huylebroeck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Simone Roic (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Charlotte Little (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Yahir Peñarrubia

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs João Gomes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Rafael Barreto

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Figueroa (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.54

Matthias Keisse

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.