FaB-Results

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Calling: Valencia 2025

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jason Rolfe
31st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Willems (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Dash I/O
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Dash I/O
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
David Pantoja Sánchez
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.