Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

31st 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Willems (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
dropped 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ron Tosch (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.