Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 12:88
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 12:88
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 12:88
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Revilla (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.