Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wallace Pate (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs George Douglas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elliott Chacksfield (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
5th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louise Roberts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Calf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
20th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Tunstall (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel McPhail (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stuart Reeve (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
23rd • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Parsons (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iain Adair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pontus Angerfors (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Tunstall (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Liam Canning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
25th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Berry (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Watts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Finn Baird (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
38th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Wilde (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ella Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Spencer Baker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
47th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Porter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louise Roberts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natasha Collins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommy Young (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Parsons (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gordon Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Byram (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Kelly (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Spencer Fagan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Callum Goddard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs August StJude (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Porter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Calf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Owen Cookman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Clark (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephen McKeever (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stuart Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.