FaB-Results
Valda, Seismic Impact

Valda, Seismic Impact

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alan Williams
30th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Ravenshear (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Lewis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 94:6
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Tom Barnaby-Pass
36th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Watt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Canning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Massimo Castelli
52nd • 3-4-1
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Henderson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Dash I/O
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Owen Cookman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Morgan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natasha Collins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.