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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
56th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Byram (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Morgan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.