Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 15:85
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Callum Young (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Kelly (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 15:85
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nate Wood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.