Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025 - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Antonis Kazouris

13th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pontus Angerfors (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Matyasik (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.45
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.15
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Finn Baird

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan McVean (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Stephen McKeever

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Love (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Wheatley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.